Today on Watch — Thursday, July 16, 2026

Published 2026-07-16 by Pushing Profits

Today on Watch for Thursday, July 16, 2026: 6 live setups, top movers across the tape, bearish sentiment read, and the day's Liquidity Matrix lesson.

# Today on Watch — Thursday, July 16, 2026 Live market read for Thursday, July 16, 2026. All tickers, levels, and sentiment below are computed from live Schwab and news provider data captured at Jul 16, 2026, 7:03 AM ET. ## Stocks on Watch Today These are the tickers showing the cleanest setups going into the session, with Saty ATR triggers attached. Cards below show the live levels — use them as your line in the sand. **ASTS** (-10.12%) — down 10.12% on the day, neutral trend in neutral down, range 0% of ATR. **SOXL** (-9.05%) — down 9.05% on the day, neutral trend in neutral down, range 0% of ATR. **TSM** (-4.55%) — down 4.55% on the day, neutral trend in neutral down, range 0% of ATR. **MU** (-4.08%) — down 4.08% on the day, neutral trend in neutral down, range 0% of ATR. **MRVL** (-3.66%) — down 3.66% on the day, neutral trend in neutral down, range 0% of ATR. **INTC** (-2.39%) — down 2.39% on the day, neutral trend in neutral down, range 0% of ATR. ```ticker-card {"asOf":"Jul 16, 2026, 7:03 AM ET","tickers":[{"symbol":"ASTS","price":59.6,"changePercent":-10.12,"reason":"down 10.12% on the day, neutral trend in neutral down, range 0% of ATR.","callsTrigger":61.52,"putsTrigger":57.68,"callsFull":67.75,"putsFull":51.45,"asOfET":"Jul 16, 2026, 7:03 AM ET"},{"symbol":"SOXL","price":150.56,"changePercent":-9.05,"reason":"down 9.05% on the day, neutral trend in neutral down, range 0% of ATR.","callsTrigger":159.26,"putsTrigger":141.87,"callsFull":187.39,"putsFull":113.74,"asOfET":"Jul 16, 2026, 7:03 AM ET"},{"symbol":"TSM","price":400.4,"changePercent":-4.55,"reason":"down 4.55% on the day, neutral trend in neutral down, range 0% of ATR.","callsTrigger":405.03,"putsTrigger":395.77,"callsFull":420,"putsFull":380.8,"asOfET":"Jul 16, 2026, 7:03 AM ET"},{"symbol":"MU","price":867.35,"changePercent":-4.08,"reason":"down 4.08% on the day, neutral trend in neutral down, range 0% of ATR.","callsTrigger":887.66,"putsTrigger":847.04,"callsFull":953.41,"putsFull":781.29,"asOfET":"Jul 16, 2026, 7:03 AM ET"},{"symbol":"MRVL","price":198.71,"changePercent":-3.66,"reason":"down 3.66% on the day, neutral trend in neutral down, range 0% of ATR.","callsTrigger":204.63,"putsTrigger":192.79,"callsFull":223.81,"putsFull":173.61,"asOfET":"Jul 16, 2026, 7:03 AM ET"},{"symbol":"INTC","price":100.53,"changePercent":-2.39,"reason":"down 2.39% on the day, neutral trend in neutral down, range 0% of ATR.","callsTrigger":102.76,"putsTrigger":98.3,"callsFull":109.97,"putsFull":91.09,"asOfET":"Jul 16, 2026, 7:03 AM ET"}]} ``` ## Top Movers Largest pre-market and intraday percentage moves across our 280+ symbol universe, filtered for liquidity (≥500k volume, ≥$5 price). ### Gainers ```movers-card {"kind":"gainers","asOfET":"Jul 16, 2026, 7:03 AM ET","rows":[]} ``` ### Losers ```movers-card {"kind":"losers","asOfET":"Jul 16, 2026, 7:03 AM ET","rows":[{"symbol":"ASTS","price":59.6,"changePercent":-10.12,"volume":1068412},{"symbol":"SOXL","price":150.56,"changePercent":-9.05,"volume":4846544},{"symbol":"TSM","price":400.4,"changePercent":-4.55,"volume":1356546},{"symbol":"MU","price":867.35,"changePercent":-4.08,"volume":1069891},{"symbol":"MRVL","price":198.71,"changePercent":-3.66,"volume":503995}]} ``` ## Market Sentiment SPY -0.25%, QQQ -0.71%, VXX +0.96% put today's tape in a bearish regime. **Regime read:** Bearish. SPY -0.25%, QQQ -0.71%, VXX +0.96%. ## Pushing Profits Game Plan Today's tape reads **Bearish**. SPY -0.25%, QQQ -0.71%, VXX +0.96% put today's tape in a bearish regime. **Bullish scenario.** SPY reclaims and holds above 755.02 (calls trigger) with QQQ following through 716.23. First objective 761.73 on SPY; lean into pullbacks that hold the trigger. **Bearish scenario.** SPY rejects 755.02 and loses 750.88 (puts trigger), QQQ confirming below 709.01. First objective 744.17 on SPY; rallies into the trigger are short setups. **Chop scenario.** SPY churns between 750.88 and 755.02 with VXX flat. Fade extremes, do not chase mid-range breaks, prioritize defined-risk premium selling. ## Liquidity Matrix Lesson of the Day ### Implied volatility is a tax, not a tell High IV doesn't mean a stock will move — it means options are expensive. After an event (earnings, FOMC), IV crush will eat a directional thesis even if you were right. Sell premium into events, buy premium ahead of compression. ```cta-card {"headline":"Trade today's setups with the community","body":"Join the Pushing Profits Discord for live signals around these tickers, or start the Liquidity Matrix membership to unlock the full toolkit.","discordUrl":"https://discord.gg/pushingprofits","pricingUrl":"/pricing"} ```

Tags: daily-market, today-on-watch, market update, options flow, pushing profits

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Sources & References

  1. The Options Clearing Corporation — Market Data & Volume — OCC (The Options Clearing Corporation)
  2. Cboe Options Market Statistics — Cboe Global Markets
  3. Cboe Options Institute — Education — Cboe Global Markets
  4. New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems (1978) — origin of the Average True Range (ATR) — J. Welles Wilder Jr., Trend Research

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